{"id":76767,"date":"2024-01-17T09:14:14","date_gmt":"2024-01-17T08:14:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/?p=76767"},"modified":"2024-01-17T13:08:39","modified_gmt":"2024-01-17T12:08:39","slug":"sorpresa-negativa-manufacturera-ny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/sorpresa-negativa-manufacturera-ny\/","title":{"rendered":"Sorpresa negativa en el dato de encuesta manufacturera de Nueva York"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Las principales bolsas mundiales se ti\u00f1eron de rojo. En Europa destaca la ca\u00edda del Ibex 35, que perdi\u00f3 los 10.000 puntos al ceder 0,82%, el DAX alem\u00e1n retroced\u00eda un 0,30% y el Eurostoxx y el CAC franc\u00e9s se dejaban un 0,18%. En cuanto a Wall Street, las ventas tambi\u00e9n fueron las protagonistas dando paso a ca\u00eddas: el Dow Jones fue el \u00edndice que m\u00e1s retroced\u00eda (0,62%), seguido por el S&amp;P 500, que se dejaba 0,37% y el Nasdaq perd\u00eda 0,19%.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><center><strong>Estrategia 2024<\/strong><\/center><center><\/center><center><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/landing\/campana\/tressis-vision\/index.html?utm_campaign=descarga_paper&amp;utm_medium=blog_MMV&amp;utm_source=tressisvision\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-67199 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CTA-Tressis-vision-para-articulos-blog.jpg\" alt=\"Informe mensual - Tressis visi\u00f3n\" width=\"800\" height=\"354\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CTA-Tressis-vision-para-articulos-blog.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CTA-Tressis-vision-para-articulos-blog-300x133.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/CTA-Tressis-vision-para-articulos-blog-768x340.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><\/center><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>En el mercado de bonos europeos la tendencia fue compradora desde la apertura. Sin embargo, al final de la tarde se dio la vuelta para terminar con la rentabilidad del bono alem\u00e1n a dos a\u00f1os al 2,594% (sub\u00eda un escaso 1 pb) y la del diez a\u00f1os +2 pb al 2,25%. Por su parte en Estados Unidos el movimiento fue similar, pero m\u00e1s intenso: las rentabilidades del dos y diez a\u00f1os sub\u00edan en 8 pb y 11 pb, para situarse en 4,22% y 4,06%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>En cuanto a datos macroecon\u00f3micos, el dato de inflaci\u00f3n final de diciembre en Alemania no sorprendi\u00f3 y se situ\u00f3 en 0,1% (mensual) y 3,7% interanual frente al +3,7% preliminar. Tambi\u00e9n conocimos los \u00edndices ZEW:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table id=\"table-2\" class=\"wptg-table wptg-comparison-table\">\n<thead class=\"wptg-thead\">\n<tr>\n<th class=\"placeholder wptg-placeholder\">\u00cdndice<\/th>\n<th>Efectivo<\/th>\n<th>Encuesta<\/th>\n<th>Anterior<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"wptg-tbody\">\n<tr>\n<td>ZEW de confianza inversora en la zona euro (enero)<\/td>\n<td>22,7<\/td>\n<td>21,9<\/td>\n<td>23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ZEW de confianza inversora en Alemania (enero)<\/td>\n<td>15,2<\/td>\n<td>11,7<\/td>\n<td>12,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>ZEW de confianza inversora en Alemania &#8211; situaci\u00f3n actual (enero)<\/td>\n<td>-77,3<\/td>\n<td>-77<\/td>\n<td>-77,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>En Estados Unidos el dato de encuesta manufacturera de Nueva York de enero sorprendi\u00f3 negativamente al ubicarse en -43,7 vs. el -5 esperado y -14.5 anterior. Es el dato m\u00e1s bajo desde finales de abril de 2020 cuando se situ\u00f3 en -78,20. En el plano pol\u00edtico, ayer Trump obtuvo una contundente victoria en las primarias republicanas de Iowa (51% de los votos), dejando en segunda posici\u00f3n a Ron DeSantis (21%) y en tercera a Nikki Haley (19%).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-76768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/manufacturera-NY.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1227\" height=\"537\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/manufacturera-NY.webp 1227w, https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/manufacturera-NY-300x131.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/manufacturera-NY-1024x448.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/manufacturera-NY-768x336.webp 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1227px) 100vw, 1227px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"smallPie\">Fuente: Bloomberg<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Hoy conoceremos el dato de inflaci\u00f3n de diciembre del Reino Unido y el final de la zona euro para el mismo mes. Mientras que en Estados Unidos se har\u00e1n p\u00fablicas las ventas al por menor de diciembre, el \u00edndice de precios de importaci\u00f3n y exportaci\u00f3n del mismo mes y la producci\u00f3n industrial.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ha dado comienzo la 54\u00aa edici\u00f3n del Foro Econ\u00f3mico Mundial (WEF) en la ciudad suiza de Davos, bajo el lema \u00abreconstruir la confianza\u00bb. Esta edici\u00f3n re\u00fane una cifra r\u00e9cord de m\u00e1s de 2.800 l\u00edderes pol\u00edticos, econ\u00f3micos y sociales de un total de 120 pa\u00edses. Seg\u00fan reconoc\u00eda su presidente, B\u00f8rge Brende, este foro se celebra en el contexto geopol\u00edtico y econ\u00f3mico m\u00e1s complicado en varias d\u00e9cadas.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Buen mi\u00e9rcoles.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><center><strong>J\u00e9ssica Steuer Barbosa<\/strong><br \/>\nAnalista<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Las principales bolsas mundiales se ti\u00f1eron de rojo. En Europa destaca la ca\u00edda del Ibex 35, que perdi\u00f3 los 10.000 puntos al ceder 0,82%, el DAX alem\u00e1n retroced\u00eda un 0,30% y el Eurostoxx y el CAC franc\u00e9s se dejaban un 0,18%. En cuanto a Wall Street, las ventas tambi\u00e9n fueron las protagonistas dando paso a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":76769,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[2126,3453,9392,6734],"class_list":["post-76767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting","tag-dow-jones","tag-inflacion","tag-manufacturera-nueva-york","tag-trump"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sorpresa negativa en el dato de encuesta manufacturera de Nueva York<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El dato m\u00e1s bajo desde finales de abril de 2020 cuando se ubic\u00f3 en -78,20.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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