{"id":75615,"date":"2023-11-15T08:53:08","date_gmt":"2023-11-15T07:53:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/?p=75615"},"modified":"2023-11-15T11:46:37","modified_gmt":"2023-11-15T10:46:37","slug":"high-yield-entradas-record-dinero","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/high-yield-entradas-record-dinero\/","title":{"rendered":"Los “high yield” experimentan unas entradas r\u00e9cord de dinero"},"content":{"rendered":"

Los mercados estaban sin un rumbo claro, pero despu\u00e9s de los buenos datos de inflaci\u00f3n de octubre de EE.UU., el optimismo se apoder\u00f3 de ellos. La renta variable mundial avanz\u00f3 con fuerza y en el mercado de renta fija asistimos a una fuerte bajada de rentabilidades, tanto en el tramo corto como en el largo plazo.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Informe de noviembre<\/strong><\/center>
<\/center>
\"Informe<\/a><\/center> <\/p>\n

Los principales \u00edndices burs\u00e1tiles europeos cerraron ayer con fuertes alzas: el DAX alem\u00e1n un 1,76 %, Eurostoxx 1,41%, el CAC franc\u00e9s rebotaba un 1,39%, el MIB italiano un 1,45% y el Ibex 35 avanzaba un 1,71%, para superar los 9600 puntos. En Estados Unidos tambi\u00e9n se decantaron por las compras: el Dow Jones Industrial sub\u00eda un 1,43%, el selectivo S&P 500 un 1,91% y el tecnol\u00f3gico Nasdaq se anotaba un 2,37%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Gracias a la buena lectura de la inflaci\u00f3n los inversores descartan, de momento, nuevas subidas de tipos por parte de la Fed. Por ende, se recupera el mercado de deuda, con los bonos de Italia, Espa\u00f1a y Francia liderando el rally<\/i>. Las rentabilidades del diez a\u00f1os bajaron entre 15 pb y 13 pb, hasta niveles de 4,40%, 3,63% y 3,16% respectivamente. Alemania baj\u00f3 11,2 pb para situarse en 2,598%. En Estados Unidos el movimiento fue similar pero m\u00e1s acusado tanto en el tramo largo de la curva (diez a\u00f1os) como en el corto plazo (dos a\u00f1os), la rentabilidad baj\u00f3 en 20 pb para cerrar al 4,446% y 4,837% respectivamente, lo que ubica la inversi\u00f3n de la curva en niveles de 39,1 pb.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan el informe semanal de flujos de Bank of America, los bonos de alto rendimiento (high yield<\/i>) experimentaron la semana pasada unas entradas r\u00e9cord de dinero (6400 millones de d\u00f3lares), alcanzando niveles m\u00e1ximos desde 2020. Este flujo de capital podr\u00eda indicar una clara inclinaci\u00f3n de los inversores hacia el riesgo crediticio, adem\u00e1s de estar vinculada a la b\u00fasqueda de rendimientos en un entorno de posibles tipos de inter\u00e9s a la baja. El informe tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala que los inversores se est\u00e1n moviendo hacia bonos de mayor duraci\u00f3n, alej\u00e1ndose de los plazos cortos.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

En el \u00e1mbito macroecon\u00f3mico el protagonismo fue para los datos de inflaci\u00f3n de octubre en Estados Unidos:<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Dato<\/th>\nEfectivo<\/th>\nEsperado<\/th>\nAnterior<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
IPC mensual<\/td>\n0,0%<\/td>\n0,1%<\/td>\n0,4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IPC anual<\/td>\n3,2%<\/td>\n3,3%<\/td>\n3,7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IPC anual<\/td>\n3,2%<\/td>\n3,3%<\/td>\n3,7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IPC subyacente mensual<\/td>\n0,2%<\/td>\n0,3%<\/td>\n0,3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IPC subyacente anual<\/td>\n4,0%<\/td>\n4,1%<\/td>\n4,1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Fuente: Bloomberg. Elaboraci\u00f3n propia 14\/11\/2023<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Gr\u00e1fico de la inflaci\u00f3n en EE.UU.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Fuente: Bloomberg. Elaboraci\u00f3n propia 15\/11\/2023<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Al otro lado del Atl\u00e1ntico conocimos la inflaci\u00f3n final de octubre en Espa\u00f1a, que se estabiliza en el 3,5% por la ca\u00edda de los carburantes y la menor subida de los alimentos. El \u00edndice ZEW de confianza inversora en Alemania de noviembre 9,08 frente 5,0 esperado y -1,1 anterior. El \u00edndice ZEW de confianza inversora en Alemania \u2014situaci\u00f3n actual\u2014, se ubic\u00f3 en -79,8 vs. -76,9 esperado y -79,9 anterior. Por \u00faltimo, pero no menos importante, conocimos el PIB preliminar del tercer trimestre de la zona euro, que confirma que la econom\u00eda de la eurozona se contrajo 0,1% durante el trimestre. Recordemos que el PIB de la eurozona comenz\u00f3 el a\u00f1o con un crecimiento cero en el primer trimestre y que aument\u00f3 al 0,2% en el segundo. Una nueva contracci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda de la eurozona en el \u00faltimo trimestre del a\u00f1o significar\u00eda la entrada en una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Hoy salen a la luz el IPC final de octubre de Francia, Italia y Reino Unido, la producci\u00f3n industrial y la balanza comercial de la zona euro, las ventas minoristas y los precios a la producci\u00f3n en Estados Unidos. En cuanto a los resultados empresariales, hoy publican Alstom, Siemens Energ\u00eda, Target y Cisco, entre otras.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Vuelve a surgir, a final de esta semana, la recurrente amenaza de cierre de la Administraci\u00f3n en Estados Unidos. Tras una pr\u00f3rroga de 45 d\u00edas que comenz\u00f3 el pasado 1 de octubre, los congresistas tendr\u00e1n que ponerse de acuerdo esta semana para alcanzar un pacto sobre el techo de deuda. En un principio se espera que se apruebe una soluci\u00f3n puente, para as\u00ed ganar tiempo y poder negociar medidas individuales y de mayor calado en el recorte de gastos.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00a1A por el mi\u00e9rcoles!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

J\u00e9ssica Steuer Barbosa<\/strong>
\nAnalista<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Los mercados estaban sin un rumbo claro, pero despu\u00e9s de los buenos datos de inflaci\u00f3n de octubre de EE.UU., el optimismo se apoder\u00f3 de ellos. La renta variable mundial avanz\u00f3 con fuerza y en el mercado de renta fija asistimos a una fuerte bajada de rentabilidades, tanto en el tramo corto como en el largo […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":75618,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[9307,2126,2720,3453,3644,8741,6985],"class_list":["post-75615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting","tag-bonos-alto-rendimiento","tag-dow-jones","tag-fed","tag-inflacion","tag-ipc","tag-recesion-tecnica","tag-zew"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLos "high yield" experimentan unas entradas r\u00e9cord de dinero<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Seg\u00fan el informe semanal de flujos de Bank of America, los bonos de alto rendimiento experimentaron la semana pasada unas entradas r\u00e9cord de dinero (6400 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