{"id":35573,"date":"2021-01-27T11:15:03","date_gmt":"2021-01-27T10:15:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tressis.com\/blog\/?p=35573"},"modified":"2021-01-27T11:15:03","modified_gmt":"2021-01-27T10:15:03","slug":"perspectivas-globales-del-fmi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/perspectivas-globales-del-fmi\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectivas globales del Fondo Monetario Internacional"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La jornada de ayer finaliz\u00f3 con resultados mixtos en las diferentes plazas mundiales.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Si bien en Europa el rebote de algunos sectores m\u00e1s ligados al ciclo, como el financiero, los materiales o la energ\u00eda tiraban de los \u00edndices al alza, en Estados Unidos los cierres se produc\u00edan en el sentido opuesto. Tanto el S&#038;P 500, como el Dow Jones Industrial y el Nasdaq Composite terminaron cediendo terreno, aunque por suerte, de tan solo algunos puntos b\u00e1sicos.<\/p>\n<p>Los inversores son conscientes de que todav\u00eda hay presentes varios focos de incertidumbre. En lo que respecta a la temporada de presentaci\u00f3n de resultados, la atenci\u00f3n sigue puesta ya no solo en las cifras de negocio del \u00faltimo trimestre de 2020 de las compa\u00f1\u00edas, sino tambi\u00e9n en las perspectivas de los equipos directivos para el futuro m\u00e1s pr\u00f3ximo. Ayer fue el turno de Microsoft, que publicaba unos n\u00fameros por encima de lo que estimaba el consenso, en especial en los servicios de computaci\u00f3n en la nube donde han crecido un 50%, y cuyas acciones llegaban a revalorizarse un 6% en el <i>after-market<\/i>. Hoy le tocar\u00e1 a otros grandes del sector como son Apple o Facebook, as\u00ed como tambi\u00e9n a Boeing, que podr\u00e1n dar algo de visibilidad de la evoluci\u00f3n del sector de la aviaci\u00f3n, o Tesla, que tras haber subido un 743% en el a\u00f1o 2020 tiene ahora que dar la talla.<\/p>\n<p>En materia econ\u00f3mica, ayer el FMI (Fondo Monetario Internacional) publicaba sus perspectivas globales revisando al alza el crecimiento mundial para 2021 hasta el 5,5%. Por geograf\u00edas, Estados Unidos consegu\u00eda una mejora en sus previsiones, seguido de China, mientras que en Europa se han rebajado con respecto a las cifras del informe anterior. En nuestra regi\u00f3n, parece que la gesti\u00f3n de las vacunas y las decisiones de los gobiernos sobre la movilidad de los ciudadanos est\u00e1n repercutiendo de manera m\u00e1s considerable, a lo cual se une ahora tambi\u00e9n el conflicto con AstraZeneca, tras haber informado que no podr\u00e1 suministrar las cantidades que se hab\u00edan acordado inicialmente, d\u00e1ndonos otro rev\u00e9s en nuestra estrategia de vacunaci\u00f3n. Por otro lado, hay que destacar la dimisi\u00f3n del primer ministro italiano, Giuseppe Conte, si bien el presidente de la Rep\u00fablica buscar\u00e1 durante los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas que este tenga los apoyos necesarios para alcanzar una mayor\u00eda estable. Aunque por ahora no parece trasladarse el nerviosismo a la comunidad inversora, ser\u00eda ya el tercer gobierno de Conte en menos de tres a\u00f1os, lo cual deja algo que desear.<\/p>\n<p>En Estados Unidos las miradas est\u00e1n puestas en el resultado de la reuni\u00f3n del Comit\u00e9 de Mercado Abierto de la Reserva Federal (FOMC), en la que a pesar de que no se esperan cambios en cuanto a pol\u00edtica monetaria, cualquier tipo de indicaci\u00f3n sobre una posible retirada paulatina de los est\u00edmulos podr\u00eda causar cierto revuelo en los mercados. Adem\u00e1s, contin\u00faan las negociaciones entre los dos principales partidos para aprobar un nuevo paquete fiscal de ayudas. Aunque Biden ya ha mostrado su preferencia por un acuerdo entre ambas formaciones, no descarta tirar por el camino del medio usando la mayor\u00eda absoluta en los presupuestos.<\/p>\n<p>En cuanto a la agenda macroecon\u00f3mica, solamente resaltar la publicaci\u00f3n del \u00edndice de confianza del consumidor para el mes de enero en Estados Unidos en la jornada de ayer, que sub\u00eda en l\u00ednea con lo que estimaba el consenso hasta los 89,3 puntos. Por su parte, hoy ser\u00e1n Francia y Alemania las que dar\u00e1n cifras sobre el mismo indicador.<\/p>\n<p>Buen d\u00eda.<\/p>\n<p><center><strong>Fernando Sanz Rubio<\/strong><br \/>\nAnalista <\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La jornada de ayer finaliz\u00f3 con resultados mixtos en las diferentes plazas mundiales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":35574,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Perspectivas globales del Fondo Monetario Internacional<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Estados Unidos 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