{"id":34738,"date":"2020-07-17T10:31:31","date_gmt":"2020-07-17T08:31:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tressis.com\/blog\/?p=34738"},"modified":"2020-07-17T10:31:31","modified_gmt":"2020-07-17T08:31:31","slug":"politica-monetaria-sin-cambio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/politica-monetaria-sin-cambio\/","title":{"rendered":"Pol\u00edtica monetaria sin cambio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Llevamos ya unos d\u00edas dentro de un mercado lateral, en el que los inversores no terminan de decantarse por las subidas o las bajadas, ya que las incertidumbres siguen presentes, pero los bancos centrales y los gobiernos sirven de sost\u00e9n para los mercados.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Ayer tocaba retroceder en los mercados de renta variable porque los informes mixtos sobre la econom\u00eda estadounidense destacaron su incierto camino y aumentan las preocupaciones por una nueva ola de infecciones por coronavirus y el impacto potencial en la recuperaci\u00f3n. Mientras que las ventas minoristas de junio de los Estados Unidos llegaron m\u00e1s fuertes de lo esperado, el n\u00famero de reclamaciones iniciales de desempleados presentadas durante la semana que termin\u00f3 el 11 de julio no cumpli\u00f3 las expectativas, con un descenso de solo 10.000 personas con respecto a la semana anterior.<\/p>\n<p>Por su parte, el Banco Central Europeo dej\u00f3 su paquete de pol\u00edtica monetaria sin cambio y a partir de ahora mantendr\u00e1 un enfoque de esperar y ver c\u00f3mo se recupera la econom\u00eda de la eurozona antes de tomar nuevas medidas. En junio, los responsables pol\u00edticos aumentaron el tama\u00f1o del programa de compras de emergencia pand\u00e9mica (PEPP) del BCE de 600.000 millones a 1.350 millones de euros, apoyando la reducci\u00f3n de los costes de endeudamiento de los gobiernos de los estados miembros, en su lucha por impulsar la demanda en sus econom\u00edas y evitar la quiebra masiva de empresas. Los responsables monetarios vieron pocas razones para ampliar el tama\u00f1o del paquete a medida que la recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica da muestras de estarse afianzando. La presidenta Lagarde se\u00f1al\u00f3 que no dejar\u00e1 que la pol\u00edtica monetaria se vea limitada y espera gastar la totalidad de su programa de compra de bonos pand\u00e9micos en respuesta a las sugerencias de otros miembros de la junta de que esto puede no ser necesario.<\/p>\n<p>Esta decisi\u00f3n provoc\u00f3 una ca\u00edda generalizada de las rentabilidades exigidas a los principales bonos soberanos europeos, al igual que de la deuda del Tesoro de los Estados Unidos, en otra sesi\u00f3n de bajo volumen ante la falta de un catalizador de precios significativo al otro lado del Atl\u00e1ntico.<\/p>\n<p>En cuanto a la temporada de resultados, los principales bancos norteamericanos han presentado ya sus cuentas y muestran un aumento de los ingresos. Sin embargo, han aprovechado para incrementar sus provisiones de cara a un aumento significativo de las quiebras. Por ahora esperan que las empresas de centros comerciales y energ\u00e9ticas sean las m\u00e1s afectadas, sectores que se han visto muy perjudicados por el impacto econ\u00f3mico de la pandemia y que ya han empezado a solicitar el concurso de acreedores. En cuanto al resto de compa\u00f1\u00edas, a\u00fan es pronto para sacar conclusiones, pero todo apunta a una ca\u00edda de los beneficios superior al 20%.<\/p>\n<p>Hoy tendremos los datos de confianza de los consumidores elaborados por la Universidad de Michigan y el IPC europeo como principales referencias, por lo que los resultados empresariales podr\u00e1n ganar un poco m\u00e1s de protagonismo en un mercado que poco a poco da muestras de que cada d\u00eda hay m\u00e1s inversores de vacaciones.<\/p>\n<p>Buen fin de semana.<\/p>\n<p><center><strong>Jorge Gonz\u00e1lez G\u00f3mez<\/strong><br \/>\nDirector de An\u00e1lisis<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Llevamos ya unos d\u00edas dentro de un mercado lateral, en el que los inversores no terminan de decantarse por las subidas o las bajadas, ya que las incertidumbres siguen presentes, pero los bancos centrales y los gobiernos sirven de sost\u00e9n para los mercados.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":34740,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34738","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pol\u00edtica monetaria sin cambio<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El Banco Central Europeo dej\u00f3 su paquete de pol\u00edtica monetaria sin cambio y a partir de ahora mantendr\u00e1 un enfoque de esperar y ver.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/politica-monetaria-sin-cambio\/\" \/>\n<meta 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