{"id":30179,"date":"2018-11-21T10:55:23","date_gmt":"2018-11-21T09:55:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tressis.com\/blog\/?p=30179"},"modified":"2018-11-21T10:55:23","modified_gmt":"2018-11-21T09:55:23","slug":"causa-o-consecuencia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/causa-o-consecuencia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfCausa o consecuencia?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El mercado sigue instalado en el miedo a que todo lo malo que puede ocurrir tiene que ir tomando forma d\u00eda tras d\u00eda.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Centrados en el hoy, Apple refleja fielmente el momento que atravesamos, pues si la econom\u00eda se ralentiza m\u00e1s y m\u00e1s, los gigantes que tanto han crecido lo tienen todo para darse la vuelta y llevarse por delante todo el mercado alcista que han construido estos \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. Esto es lo que se puede interpretar del comportamiento del mercado, pero de ah\u00ed a que vaya a suceder a pies juntillas&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>El problema, sea causa o consecuencia, es que el entorno no es el m\u00e1s propicio para lanzarse a invertir por culpa de los m\u00faltiples problemas pol\u00edticos que amenazan la estabilidad internacional. Al frente de todos ellos la guerra (o como queramos llamarla) comercial, de la que no se sabe nada m\u00e1s que el \u00faltimo rumor o tuit del d\u00eda. Detr\u00e1s, de nuevo, una hipot\u00e9tica fractura del euro por culpa de Italia, que hoy recibir\u00e1 el segundo rapapolvo de la Uni\u00f3n Europea por las cuentas elaboradas por la conocid\u00edsima &#8220;Anto\u00f1ita la Fant\u00e1stica&#8221;. Tambi\u00e9n suma, o quiz\u00e1s hay que decir que resta, el <i>brexit<\/i>, pues a pesar del revuelo inicial que produjo el acuerdo de May, los <i>tories<\/i> todav\u00eda no han terminado de presentar la moci\u00f3n de confianza para decapitar pol\u00edticamente a la <i>premier<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo no todos los honores se los van a llevar los de siempre, aunque ni mucho menos liberarlos de su responsabilidad. Apuntando a determinados sectores por factores propios, cuando no han sido los bancos, tocaban los coches, pero el que lo est\u00e1 haciendo todo en silencio es el petr\u00f3leo. Con el desplome de m\u00e1s de un cuarto de valor del barril, el efecto sobre las cotizaciones es el esperable, pero el problema es la absoluta falta de claridad sobre la decisi\u00f3n de la producci\u00f3n que tome la OPEP+Rusia, el verdadero factor bajista del petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n<p>En este mundo financiero aparentemente negro, hay luces y no son tenues ni mucho menos. El crecimiento se ha ralentizado y los beneficios de las compa\u00f1\u00edas de EE.UU. van a adaptarse despu\u00e9s de un periodo favorecidas por la bajada de impuestos, cierto, pero eso no indica que el ciclo al fin se vaya a dar la vuelta de hoy a ma\u00f1ana. Un signo positivo puede ser la estabilizaci\u00f3n de la venta de vivienda nueva norteamericana, pues los malos datos recientes en este sector han pesado debido a la importancia sobre la riqueza de las familias de dicho pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n<p>Buen d\u00eda.<\/p>\n<p><center><strong>Am\u00edlcar Barrios Vilallonga<\/strong><br \/>\nDirecci\u00f3n de Inversiones<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El mercado sigue instalado en el miedo a que todo lo malo que puede ocurrir tiene que ir tomando forma d\u00eda tras d\u00eda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":30180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[259,1585,1937,2206,2469,3128,3696,4849,6875],"class_list":["post-30179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting","tag-apple","tag-crecimiento-ralentizado","tag-desplome-barril-petroleo","tag-eeuu","tag-estabilidad-internacional","tag-guerra-comercial","tag-italia","tag-petroleto","tag-ventas-viviendas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfCausa o consecuencia?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El entorno no es el m\u00e1s propicio para lanzarse a invertir por culpa de los m\u00faltiples problemas pol\u00edticos\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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