{"id":28322,"date":"2018-03-02T10:41:45","date_gmt":"2018-03-02T09:41:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tressis.com\/blog\/?p=28322"},"modified":"2018-03-02T10:41:45","modified_gmt":"2018-03-02T09:41:45","slug":"trump-lo-eclipsa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/trump-lo-eclipsa\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump lo eclipsa todo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pues no est\u00e1bamos recuperando la tranquilidad y va y llega Trump y lo eclipsa todo.<\/p>\n

Tan solo una acci\u00f3n como la imposici\u00f3n de aranceles a las importaciones de acero y aluminio ha sido lo m\u00ednimamente necesario para despertar el miedo otra vez. Dejando el mercado a un lado, esta clase de medidas en un mundo que tiende a la globalizaci\u00f3n no terminan de tener mucho sentido, especialmente por el riesgo de que sean los consumidores de EE.UU. los que paguen de su bolsillo el populismo m\u00e1s barato. Pero claro, igual hasta se salvan puestos de trabajo, dir\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Era d\u00eda para Powell aunque su jefe le robara todo el protagonismo. El presidente de la Fed se reafirm\u00f3 en lo dicho el martes sobre la necesidad de frenar el posible recalentamiento de la actividad norteamericana y querer evitar llegar tarde con la pol\u00edtica monetaria, lo que en lenguaje de la calle viene a significar que lo de subir tipos cuatro veces es bastante m\u00e1s probable de lo que pod\u00edamos pensar.<\/p>\n

Hay quien puede argumentar que por crecimiento vale, pero que si es por inflaci\u00f3n tampoco existe una necesidad imperativa por subir tipos de forma m\u00e1s o menos agresiva. La lectura de inflaci\u00f3n correspondiente a enero, medida por el PCE, se ha vuelto a quedar estancada en el 1,5% en la versi\u00f3n que no tiene en cuenta energ\u00eda, es decir, que expectativas puede haber, pero que hoy por hoy no parece que haya tanta presi\u00f3n en precios.<\/p>\n

Si bien la inflaci\u00f3n no es todo lo que cabr\u00eda esperar cuando se pusieron en marcha los experimentos monetarios con nombre en clave QE, el crecimiento s\u00ed es lo mejor que estamos viviendo en mucho tiempo. As\u00ed como los PMI europeos de manufacturas han sufrido un leve descenso, pero a\u00fan en niveles elevados, el ISM estadounidense ha experimentado un incremento que lo ha llevado por encima de los 60 puntos. Con esta tendencia, global, no es de extra\u00f1ar que incluso Kuroda haya empezado a hablar de dar carpetazo a los est\u00edmulos para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

Y el domingo Europa se la juega, pero eso ya ser\u00e1 cosa del lunes.<\/p>\n

Buen fin de semana.<\/p>\n

Am\u00edlcar Barrios Vilallonga<\/strong>
\nDirecci\u00f3n de Inversiones<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pues no est\u00e1bamos recuperando la tranquilidad y va y llega Trump y lo eclipsa todo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":28323,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[286,1191,1557,2206,2556,3453,3690,3772,4749,4937,4997,5078,5152,6412,6734],"class_list":["post-28322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting","tag-aranceles-importaciones","tag-clave-qe","tag-crecimiento-eeuu","tag-eeuu","tag-europa","tag-inflacion","tag-ism-estadounidense","tag-kuroda","tag-pce","tag-pmi-europeos","tag-politica-monetaria","tag-powell","tag-presion-en-precios","tag-subir-tipos-interes","tag-trump"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrump lo eclipsa todo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ayer era el d\u00eda del nuevo presidente de la FED, pero su jefe le rob\u00f3 todo el 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