{"id":28274,"date":"2018-02-26T17:14:53","date_gmt":"2018-02-26T16:14:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tressis.com\/blog\/?p=28274"},"modified":"2023-05-26T13:16:49","modified_gmt":"2023-05-26T11:16:49","slug":"adriza-neutral-comentario-semanal-26-02-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/adriza-neutral-comentario-semanal-26-02-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"Adriza Neutral. Comentario semanal (26\/02\/2018)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Semana sin grandes novedades en lo que a indicaciones de pol\u00edtica monetaria se refiere, a la vez que los \u00edndices de bolsa consolidan su recuperaci\u00f3n.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Empecemos con los resultados:<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-28275\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/20180226-adriza.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"392\" height=\"168\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/20180226-adriza.png 392w, https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/20180226-adriza-300x129.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 392px) 100vw, 392px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>La reanudaci\u00f3n de la calma y continuaci\u00f3n del rebote de los mercados de renta variable ha permitido que Adriza Neutral contin\u00fae reduciendo la rentabilidad negativa del a\u00f1o actual, dej\u00e1ndola en -0,36%, cifra en la que la aportaci\u00f3n de la renta variable queda pr\u00e1cticamente en +0,06% y la de renta fija en -0,39%. La depreciaci\u00f3n del euro durante la semana pasada ha supuesto un revulsivo para la cartera, que esperamos contin\u00fae, en la medida en que a lo largo del a\u00f1o corrija el diferencial entre los tipos de inter\u00e9s de Estados Unidos y Europa, actualmente en 220 puntos b\u00e1sicos en el plazo de 10 a\u00f1os, frente a los 30 puntos b\u00e1sicos de media hasta 2013.<\/p>\n<p>Los \u00faltimos d\u00edas han estado marcados por la publicaci\u00f3n de las actas de los dos bancos centrales m\u00e1s importantes. As\u00ed, la Fed contin\u00faa con su intenci\u00f3n de devolver los tipos de intervenci\u00f3n a niveles m\u00e1s adecuados, mientras que los representantes del BCE mantienen su opini\u00f3n sobre la necesidad de seguir con el programa de compra de activos, algo que en cierta medida sorprend\u00eda frente a las actas del mes anterior, y lo que permiti\u00f3 que la renta variable europea consolidara su rebote al final de la semana.<\/p>\n<p>Aparte de las indicaciones de pol\u00edtica monetaria, los PMI de la eurozona nos sorprendieron con lecturas peores de lo esperado, algo a lo que restamos importancia por encontrarse en m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos. Tarde o temprano ten\u00eda que llegar alguna lectura peor. Los niveles, en cualquier caso, siguen siendo fuertes y compatibles con altos niveles de actividad econ\u00f3mica. As\u00ed, los resultados empresariales, que crecen un 25% en 2017, est\u00e1n marcando niveles de sorpresa del 3,5% en beneficios y casi un 1% en ventas.<\/p>\n<p>Por lo anterior, seguimos manteniendo la confianza en nuestra posici\u00f3n en renta variable (41,5%), preferiblemente europea y sin cambios destacables en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas. La seguiremos manteniendo en la medida en que no detectemos razones de cambio en las perspectivas econ\u00f3micas.<\/p>\n<p>Recuerden: si las letras del Tesoro ofrecen rentabilidades negativas, <strong>no hay retorno sin riesgo<\/strong> y, como siempre, \u201cTengan cuidado ah\u00ed fuera\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><center><strong>Rafael Pe\u00f1a Gorospe<\/strong><br \/>\nGestor de Adriza Neutral<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Semana sin grandes novedades en lo que a indicaciones de pol\u00edtica monetaria se refiere, a la vez que los \u00edndices de bolsa consolidan su recuperaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":24654,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[559,2556,2577,2720,3342,4016,4225,4927,4997,5687,5796,6624],"class_list":["post-28274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tressis-gestion","tag-bce","tag-europa","tag-eurozona","tag-fed","tag-indeces-de-bolsa","tag-maximos-historicos","tag-mercados-renta-variable","tag-pmi","tag-politica-monetaria","tag-rentabilidad-negativa","tag-resultados-empresariales","tag-tipos-de-interes-en-eeuu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Adriza Neutral. 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