{"id":25031,"date":"2017-03-17T09:22:26","date_gmt":"2017-03-17T08:22:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tressis.com\/blog\/?p=25031"},"modified":"2023-06-29T10:38:52","modified_gmt":"2023-06-29T08:38:52","slug":"adriza-neutral-comentario-semanal-20170317","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/adriza-neutral-comentario-semanal-20170317\/","title":{"rendered":"Adriza Neutral. Comentario semanal (17\/03\/2017)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Transcurrida la segunda semana de marzo el fondo ofrece una revalorizaci\u00f3n en el a\u00f1o de un 2,5%, y cumple ampliamente los objetivos de rentabilidad a tres y cinco a\u00f1os, 5,85% TAE 3 a\u00f1os; 7,32% TAE 5 a\u00f1os.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Los datos macro en Europa y EEUU consolidan una mejora de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico para el primer trimestre del a\u00f1o, especialmente los registros de inflaci\u00f3n nos alejan de riesgos deflacionistas. Las rentabilidades a largo plazo  regresaron a m\u00e1ximos recientes, 2,60% USA y 0,50% Alemania, antes de la reuni\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal. La subida de tipos del quince de marzo, que se produce sin que se endurezcan las condiciones financieras para familias y empresas, se ve acompa\u00f1ada de un consenso de dos subidas m\u00e1s en el a\u00f1o y un pron\u00f3stico de tres subidas para 2018. Al final del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o el mercado predice unos tipos de intervenci\u00f3n en EEUU entre un 2%-2,25%. El pr\u00f3ximo cinco de abril conoceremos los \u201cminutes\u201d de la Reserva Federal, e intentaremos aclarar dos cuestiones, posibles medidas sobre su balance, y qu\u00e9 significa la asimetr\u00eda en el objetivo de inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>En Europa hemos pasado el \u00faltimo test pol\u00edtico del primer trimestre del a\u00f1o con las elecciones holandesas. Tras la reuni\u00f3n del BCE se consolida un escenario m\u00e1s tranquilo y alejado de tener que tomar nuevas medidas no convencionales por parte del banco central. Por fin los datos de inflaci\u00f3n soportan ligeramente la constante preocupaci\u00f3n alemana y, ayudados por el importante diferencial de tipos entre Alemania y EEUU, creemos que, podemos asistir a subidas en los tipos de dep\u00f3sito a las entidades financieras por parte del BCE (actualmente -0,40%) que permitan mejorar los m\u00e1rgenes de los bancos, y especialmente de los bancos de los pa\u00edses perif\u00e9ricos. <\/p>\n<p>En la cartera finalmente se han realizado los cambios planteados, hemos subido la exposici\u00f3n a bolsas hasta un 30%, proporcionalmente a nuestra exposici\u00f3n geogr\u00e1fica y sectorial. En renta fija seguimos con la estrategia de devengo de intereses de la cartera de cr\u00e9dito y evitar, en la medida de lo posible, el riesgo de duraci\u00f3n. La inversi\u00f3n en d\u00f3lares supera el 10% del patrimonio y otras divisas asciende al 9%.<\/p>\n<p>Recuerden: si las letras del Tesoro ofrecen rentabilidades negativas, <strong>no hay retorno sin riesgo<\/strong> y, como siempre, \u201cTengan cuidado ah\u00ed fuera\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Rafael Pe\u00f1a Gorospe<\/strong><strong><br \/>\nGestor de Adriza Neutral<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Transcurrida la segunda semana de marzo el fondo ofrece una revalorizaci\u00f3n en el a\u00f1o de un 2,5%, y cumple ampliamente los objetivos de rentabilidad a tres y cinco a\u00f1os, 5,85% TAE 3 a\u00f1os; 7,32% TAE 5 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":24654,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[141,559,1042,1772,1773,2206,3968,4564,5761,6404,6782],"class_list":["post-25031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tressis-gestion","tag-alemania","tag-bce","tag-cartera-de-credito","tag-datos-macro-eeuu","tag-datos-macro-europa","tag-eeuu","tag-margenes-de-los-bancos","tag-objetivos-de-rentabilidad","tag-reserva-federal","tag-subido-exposicion-bolsas","tag-usa"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Adriza Neutral. 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