{"id":106353,"date":"2025-03-18T08:28:03","date_gmt":"2025-03-18T07:28:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/?p=106353"},"modified":"2025-03-18T12:37:47","modified_gmt":"2025-03-18T11:37:47","slug":"bancos-centrales-principales-protagonistas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tressis.com\/ca\/blog\/bancos-centrales-principales-protagonistas\/","title":{"rendered":"Los bancos centrales ser\u00e1n los principales protagonistas"},"content":{"rendered":"

La Fed comienza su reuni\u00f3n de dos d\u00edas, en la que se espera mantenga sus tasas de inter\u00e9s de referencia del 4,25% al 4,50%. Adicionalmente, dar\u00e1 a conocer sus expectativas de crecimiento y de inflaci\u00f3n, y es factible que reduzca las primeras y mantenga o incremente las segundas. Tambi\u00e9n publicar\u00e1 su diagrama de puntos, en el que sus miembros dibujan proyecciones de los tipos de inter\u00e9s de referencia para los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os. En diciembre el diagrama mostraba dos nuevas bajadas de tipos en 2025; veremos qu\u00e9 esperan ahora. El mi\u00e9rcoles tambi\u00e9n tomar\u00e1 decisiones de pol\u00edtica monetaria el Banco de Jap\u00f3n (BoJ). Mientras que el jueves tienen reuni\u00f3n otros cuatro bancos centrales: el sueco, el suizo, el de Reino Unido y el de China. En principio se espera que el banco central de Suiza (SNB) vuelva a bajar sus tasas de inter\u00e9s de referencia en 25 puntos b\u00e1sicos, hasta el 0,25%, y que tanto el banco central de Suecia (Sveriges Riksbank) como el Banco de Inglaterra (BoE) los mantengan sin cambios en el 2,25% y en el 4,5%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

<\/a><\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

Mercado de valores<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Jornada positiva en las bolsas mundiales. El Ibex 35 fue el \u00edndice que experiment\u00f3 una mayor subida de 1,09%, por encima de los 13.100 puntos, destacando IAG, Solaria, Amadeus y Repsol. El Eurostoxx cerr\u00f3 avanzando un 0,77%, el DAX acab\u00f3 la sesi\u00f3n con una revaloraci\u00f3n de 0,73% y el CAC 40 sub\u00eda 0,57%. Por su parte en Estados Unidos, el Dow Jones sumaba 0,85%, el selectivo S&P 500 un 0,64% y el tecnol\u00f3gico Nasdaq se anotaba un 0,31%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Rentabilidades de bonos<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Respecto al mercado de deuda, vimos una fuerte disminuci\u00f3n en las rentabilidades europeas en el tramo largo de la curva. La rentabilidad del bono alem\u00e1n a diez a\u00f1os disminuy\u00f3 5,8 puntos, para ubicarse en 2,81%; mientras que el bono a dos a\u00f1os se mantuvo pr\u00e1cticamente sin cambios en el 2,18%. En Estados Unidos casi sin cambios, el bono a diez a\u00f1os se dejaba 1 p.b. en rentabilidad (4,30%) y el dos a\u00f1os sub\u00eda 3 p.b. a 4,04%.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Medidas del Gobierno alem\u00e1n<\/strong><\/h2>\n

El futuro canciller alem\u00e1n anunciaba que han logrado un acuerdo entre la CDU, el SPD y Los Verdes para aprobar el paquete fiscal que se anunci\u00f3 hace unas semanas y que supondr\u00e1 un impulso para este a\u00f1o del 2,5% del PIB. La C\u00e1mara Baja aprobada el domingo los planes para aumentar deuda, el gasto en defensa y poner en marcha planes de reactivaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda. Ahora queda conocer la votaci\u00f3n del pr\u00f3ximo martes y el desarrollo de los recursos judiciales que han interpuesto algunos partidos, que consideran que estas decisiones se deber\u00edan votar con la formaci\u00f3n del nuevo parlamento.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Pulso del mercado estadounidense<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Las ventas al por menor de febrero conocidas ayer en Estados Unidos han mostrado un desempe\u00f1o inferior al esperado, que anticipaban una disminuci\u00f3n m\u00e1s moderada: 0,2% vs. 0,6% estimado. Este descenso refleja una debilidad en el gasto del consumidor, especialmente en sectores como art\u00edculos deportivos, muebles y ropa, mientras que las ventas en gasolineras y servicios de alimentos mostraron ligeros aumentos. En la misma l\u00ednea el \u00edndice manufacturero Empire State de marzo ca\u00eda m\u00e1s de lo esperado: -20 vs. -1,9 esperado vs. 5,7 anterior. De igual modo lo hac\u00eda el \u00edndice del mercado inmobiliario del NAHB del mismo mes, que queda en 39 frente 42 esperado y 42 anterior.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Hoy se publica el \u00edndice ZEW de confianza inversora de marzo en Alemania y zona euro. En Estados Unidos se conocer\u00e1n los datos de construcci\u00f3n de nuevas viviendas, producci\u00f3n industrial y los \u00edndices de precios de importaci\u00f3n del mes de febrero. Adem\u00e1s, se espera que Trump hable con el presidente ruso, Vlad\u00edmir Putin, para discutir el fin de la guerra en Ucrania, despu\u00e9s de conversaciones positivas entre funcionarios estadounidenses y rusos en Mosc\u00fa. Para finalizar, de acuerdo a las noticias, Israel rompe la tregua y lanza una ofensiva contra Gaza; veremos c\u00f3mo se lo toma el mercado.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00a1Feliz martes!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Jessica Steuer Barbosa<\/strong>
\nAnalista<\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La Fed comienza su reuni\u00f3n de dos d\u00edas, en la que se espera mantenga sus tasas de inter\u00e9s de referencia del 4,25% al 4,50%. Adicionalmente, dar\u00e1 a conocer sus expectativas de crecimiento y de inflaci\u00f3n, y es factible que reduzca las primeras y mantenga o incremente las segundas. Tambi\u00e9n publicar\u00e1 su diagrama de puntos, en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":106357,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9721],"tags":[508,9167,2720,3054,4997],"class_list":["post-106353","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morning-meeting","tag-bancos-centrales","tag-el-ibex-35-hoy","tag-fed","tag-gobierno-aleman","tag-politica-monetaria"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLos bancos centrales ser\u00e1n los principales protagonistas<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"La Fed y bancos centrales como el sueco, suizo, de Reino Unido y de China, se re\u00fanen en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas para tomar decisiones de pol\u00edtica monetaria.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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